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Rainfall, where it occurs, given a 30% chance of rain, will average less than 0.25 inch. Scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with an associated lightning threat. Troy’s Weather Forecast for Austin and South Central Texas

MY FORECAST CONFIDENCE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS…Ī high to very high confidence through the next seven days. (3) With sunshine continuing, I expect to see a bit of a warm up in temperatures for the first half of next week.īased on NWS/Weather Prediction Center guidance, I now expect 1.00 to 1.25 inches of rain over the next seven day period with most of that occurring after midnight tonight into tomorrow and tomorrow evening. Skies will partially clear Friday through the weekend with drier and cooler air continuing through our upcoming weekend with temperatures actually falling below seasonal averages. (2) A dry secondary, reinforcing cold front will pass through the area late Friday night into Saturday with north northeasterly surface winds increasing and becoming gusty as cooler air moves in. All of this creates substantial atmospheric lift which gives us the best chances of rain and thunderstorms reaching it’s peak as the system passes overhead after midnight tonight and continuing tomorrow before decreasing tomorrow night into early Friday. The more northwesterly wind aloft as it approaches and passes will support the initial cold front of the season through the area by evening tomorrow which continues to shift a little later in time. As this occurs, it increases our atmospheric instability as well increases moist low level southeasterly flow from the Gulf of Mexico. This is occurring as a strong Pacific upper level trough (“line”) of low pressure pushes eastward through the central states. (1) With unseasonably warm temperatures expected today, we’re still seeing the upper level high “heat dome,” that has been overhead of the south central states since late June, finally get broken up and shoved to the southeast over the Gulf of Mexico. … Lightning Threat With any Thunderstorms … WEATHER HAZARDS THROUGH 12 MIDNIGHT TONIGHT… Since, in periods of tranquil weather, these products may be AlwaysĬheck the date and time of issuance of these NWS text products Which is courtesy of the Iowa Environmental Mesonet. (always the most recent at the top of the page) through this link Local NWS Austin-San Antonio office through their website… The latest area watch, advisory and warning updates from our

(Includes My Complete Forecast Reasoning)Īctivate notifications for my times of severe and/or inclement weather, you can follow Sunshine Returns for the Weekend Then a Warming Trend Gets Underway Next Week. Warmer Than Average Temperatures Today Before a Major Weather Pattern Change Takes Place with Rain Chances and Cooler Temperatures Beginning Tomorrow and Continuing Friday into the Weekend.